ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Scotland and Ireland will meet in a Women's T20 World Cup group-stage fixture on 13 June 2026. The match carries implications for both teams' progression chances in what is typically a closely contested regional rivalry within Associate cricket. The current crowd-implied probability of 100% YES suggests the market is pricing certainty that the match will be completed and produce a definitive result, rather than forecasting a particular winner.

Historical precedent for Scotland–Ireland women's T20 encounters shows competitive, low-scoring affairs where margins are often narrow. Their most recent bilateral series have typically gone to the final overs, with neither side establishing dominance. In World Cup group stages, Associate nations have demonstrated capacity to upset established sides, though Scotland and Ireland themselves occupy similar competitive tiers. The 100% probability reading here reflects settlement mechanics rather than sporting likelihood: the market is essentially confirming that match abandonment or a no-result outcome is treated as extremely unlikely given the tournament's scheduling buffer and venue infrastructure in 2026.

Traders monitoring this contract should track team announcements regarding squad composition and injury status in the weeks before June 13. Venue conditions at the designated ground—particularly weather forecasts and pitch reports—become material only if they suggest abandonment risk, which would be priced as a tail event. Recent ICC tournament scheduling has shown robust contingency planning to avoid no-results in group stages. The settlement window closing on 20 June provides a five-day buffer for official result confirmation via ESPNcricinfo, standard for ICC events.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.