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Counter-Strike: 6666 vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 8

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: 6666 vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 8" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-3.5) vs 6666 (+3.5) 100% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $447 Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: 6666 vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 8

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-3.5) vs 6666 (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-3.5) vs 6666 (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-6.5) vs 6666 (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: IS (-1.5) vs 6666 (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-3.5) vs 6666 (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-6.5) vs 6666 (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 6666 (-3.5) vs Iberian Soul (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 6666 (-6.5) vs Iberian Soul (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: 6666 (-1.5) vs Iberian Soul (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-9.5) vs 6666 (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-12.5) vs 6666 (+12.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-6.5) vs 6666 (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-12.5) vs 6666 (+12.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Iberian Soul (-9.5) vs 6666 (+9.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Counter-Strike: 6666 vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 8. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between 6666 and Iberian Soul in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 8, initially scheduled for August 8 at 11:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: 6666 vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Esports… on Best Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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