🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Match Winner 71% O/U 2.5 Games 61% Volume: $191K Liquidity: $200K Closes: 2 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Match Winner71%
O/U 2.5 Games61%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Winner44%
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)25%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-6.5) vs paiN (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)10%
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)1%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between HOTU and paiN in the IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Gl… on Best Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →