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Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Volume: $237K Liquidity: $225K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Ends in Daytime91%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Ilbirs eSports (+1.5)1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Ilbirs eSports in the EPL Masters Group A, initially scheduled for July 26 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" i…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL … on Best Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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