Switzerland vs. Jordan - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Switzerland will face Jordan in a FIFA International Friendly on 31 May at 9:00 AM ET. The prediction market currently reflects 100% implied probability that additional markets will be created for this fixture, suggesting near-certainty among traders that supplementary betting options beyond the standard match outcome will materialise before or during the match window.

Historical precedent for friendly internationals involving European sides against lower-ranked opponents shows consistent secondary-market proliferation. When Switzerland has played comparable fixtures—particularly warm-up matches ahead of major tournaments—sportsbooks have typically offered expanded markets covering first-goal scorer, both-teams-to-score, correct score, and player performance props within 48 hours of kickoff. The 100% crowd probability reflects this pattern rather than any official confirmation from broadcasters or betting operators. Comparable friendlies involving UEFA nations against AFC opponents have generated 15–25 distinct market types by match day.

Traders should monitor fixture confirmation from the Swiss Football Association and any official broadcast partnerships, as these typically trigger cascading market releases across major platforms. Recent friendly announcements by European federations have shown a 3–5 day lag between fixture confirmation and full market suite availability. The settlement window's 31 May deadline aligns with match day itself, meaning the resolution hinges on whether secondary markets actually launch rather than on match performance. Any postponement or fixture cancellation would materially alter the outcome, though no scheduling conflicts have been reported as of early 2026.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.