Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
79% | 21% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
79% | 21% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| Australia Corners: O/U 2.5 | 75% |
| Egypt Corners: O/U 3.5 | 66% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 65% |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| Australia Corners: O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Egypt Corners: O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Total Corners: Odd or Even | 50% |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 49% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Team to Take First Corner | 43% |
| Australia Corners: O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Egypt Corners: O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 31% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 19% |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 13% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 79% YES probability for Australia vs. Egypt - Total Corners. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Australia and Egypt, scheduled for July 3 at 2:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Australia vs. Egypt - Total Corners on Best Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →