Haiti vs. Scotland - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland are scheduled to meet in a FIFA World Cup qualifier on 13 June 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. The prediction market currently implies a 5% probability that additional markets will be offered for this fixture, with settlement occurring shortly after the match concludes. This contract tracks whether sportsbooks and betting platforms will expand their market offerings beyond standard win/draw/loss and goal-total wagers.

Historical precedent suggests that expanded market availability correlates with fixture prominence and sportsbook confidence in liquidity. Matches involving established footballing nations typically attract deeper market coverage—player performance props, corner totals, and card markets—whilst qualifiers between lower-ranked sides often remain confined to basic offerings. Haiti's FIFA ranking (currently outside the top 100) and Scotland's middling European standing (ranked around 40th) position this fixture in a grey zone where sportsbook appetite for ancillary markets remains uncertain. Previous World Cup qualifiers between similarly-ranked nations have seen additional markets materialise only when pre-match interest exceeded baseline thresholds.

The key catalyst is sportsbook demand in the week preceding 13 June. Fixture confirmation, team news regarding injuries to key players, and betting volume trends will determine whether operators deem the match sufficiently attractive for expanded offerings. Regulatory approvals in major markets and platform-specific commercial decisions also influence market proliferation. Traders should monitor sportsbook announcements from major operators (DraftKings, FanDuel, Betfair) in early June, as these typically signal broader market expansion patterns across the industry.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.