Morocco vs. Haiti - Halftime Result

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The FIFA World Cup Group C match between Morocco and Haiti, played on 24 June 2026 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, concluded with a 0-0 scoreline at full time, though the first half saw dramatic action. Prediction markets currently imply a 0% probability for a Haiti win at halftime, yet live updates and social feeds confirm the first 45 minutes ended in a 2-2 draw, with Haiti and Morocco sharing goals in a thrilling contest [2][3]. This stark divergence between the implied probability and the actual outcome frames the contract as a high-risk anomaly where market pricing failed to reflect the on-pitch reality.

Historically, similar World Cup fixtures involving African and Caribbean nations have produced volatile first-half results, often ending in draws rather than decisive away wins, which aligns with the 2-2 halftime score observed here [3]. Traders should monitor official line-up announcements and stoppage-time declarations, as these dependencies directly influence the final settlement of halftime markets. Recent coverage from The Athletic notes that broadcast schedules and stoppage-time rulings are critical for verifying the exact end of the first half, a factor that can alter market outcomes if misinterpreted [2]. The absence of a Haiti win at halftime, despite the 2-2 score, underscores the importance of precise event timing in prediction markets.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.