Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Qatar and Switzerland will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 13 June at 3:00 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score." The 4% implied probability for a specific scoreline reflects the inherent difficulty in predicting precise match outcomes; across major sportsbooks, exact-score wagers typically carry odds between 8–15% for the most common results (1–0, 2–1, 1–1), with less frequent scorelines priced substantially lower.

Historical data from World Cup group and knockout matches shows that exact-score predictions cluster heavily around low-scoring results. Between 2014 and 2022, roughly 65% of all World Cup matches ended 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, or 2–1. Qatar's 2022 campaign saw them eliminated in the group stage with a goal differential of −6, whilst Switzerland advanced to the knockout rounds. Current form and squad composition matter considerably: Switzerland's recent qualifying campaign demonstrated defensive solidity, whilst Qatar's domestic league experience provides limited international calibre benchmarking. The 4% figure sits meaningfully below typical sportsbook odds for mid-range scorelines, suggesting the prediction market may be pricing in higher uncertainty or broader distribution across "Any Other Score."

Traders should monitor team news releases and injury updates through early June, particularly regarding key attacking players. Fixture congestion in the tournament schedule and weather conditions in North America could influence match tempo. Recent World Cup tournaments have shown increasing variance in scorelines compared to historical norms, with 2–2 and 3–1 results appearing more frequently than pre-2010 patterns would suggest.

Methodology

We track Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.