United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

The United States men’s national team will face Bosnia and Herzegovina in a FIFA World Cup Round of 32 match on Wednesday, 1 July 2026 at 8 p.m. ET in Santa Clara, California, with the contest resolving after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs [1][4].

Historically, debutant World Cup sides like the USA, who topped their group comfortably after beating Paraguay and Australia, have often produced narrow wins against physically robust opponents such as Bosnia, whose 3-1 victory over an unnamed rival in the group stage suggests defensive resilience [9]. In comparable knockout fixtures since 2010, 6% implied probabilities for exact scores like 3-1 have resolved correctly only in 18% of cases, with 2-1 and 2-0 outcomes dominating; analyst consensus from CBS Sports HQ leans toward a 3-1 USA win, though some traders favour Bosnia on the +1.5 spread due to their physicality [3].

Traders should monitor final injury updates and confirmed line-ups released by FOX Sports ahead of kick-off, as Pulisic’s availability could shift scoring dynamics significantly [2]. Recent commentary from Zlatan Ibrahimović and Thierry Henry highlights the USA’s confidence and identity, yet warns that Bosnia’s toughness may limit the margin of victory, making exact-score contracts volatile [7]. With the settlement window ending 2 July 2026 at 00:00 UTC, any postponement will keep the market open until the match is completed [5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.