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Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Arezzo - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Arezzo - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Cagliari Calcio O/U 0.5 100% Cagliari Calcio 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $123K Liquidity: $434K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Arezzo - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 0.5100%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)0%
SS Arezzo (-1.5)0%
Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)0%
SS Arezzo (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 1.50%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 2.50%
SS Arezzo O/U 0.50%
SS Arezzo O/U 1.50%
SS Arezzo O/U 2.50%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half O/U 1.50%
SS Arezzo 1st Half O/U 0.50%
SS Arezzo 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 0.50%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
SS Arezzo 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
SS Arezzo 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Cagliari Calcio will face SS Arezzo in a Coppa Italia fixture on 14 August at 12:30 PM ET. The match represents an early-stage cup competition encounter, with settlement contingent on the availability of supplementary betting markets beyond standard match outcomes. The 0% crowd-implied probability suggests either minimal trading activity or a consensus view that additional markets will not materialise for this specific fixture.

Coppa Italia early-round matches typically generate limited ancillary market depth compared to Serie A fixtures or later tournament stages. Historical precedent shows that smaller clubs and lower-tier matchups often lack the liquidity to support extended market offerings on platforms tracking secondary bets. Arezzo's recent promotion history and Cagliari's mid-table Serie A status create asymmetric interest; major sportsbooks prioritise markets for fixtures involving top-six clubs or high-stakes knockout rounds. The absence of pre-match analyst consensus on supplementary market availability reflects genuine uncertainty rather than bearish sentiment.

Traders should monitor sportsbook announcements from major European operators in the week preceding the fixture. Regulatory changes affecting Italian football betting, fixture postponements, or squad availability announcements could alter operator decisions on market breadth. The settlement window closes shortly after scheduled kick-off, leaving minimal time for market expansion post-announcement. Current odds across major platforms show negligible coverage of "more markets" contracts for comparable Coppa Italia encounters, suggesting structural constraints rather than temporary gaps in coverage.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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