Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
70% | 30% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
70% | 30% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 70% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 67% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 64% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 64% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 63% |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) | 59% |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 54% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 51% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 48% |
| First Blood in Game 3? | 47% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 45% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 44% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 43% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 43% |
| Game 4 Winner | 40% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 39% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 38% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 38% |
| Game 2 Winner | 35% |
| Game 3 Winner | 35% |
| Game 1 Winner | 34% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 31% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 31% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 31% |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) | 30% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 30% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Match Winner | 24% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: anyone's legend vs bilibili gaming (bo5) - lpl playoffs stands at 70% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. T…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL … on Best Prediction Markets
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