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LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 78% Game 1 Winner 68% Game 2 Winner 67% Game 3 Winner 67% Volume: $163K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner78%
Game 1 Winner68%
Game 2 Winner67%
Game 3 Winner67%
O/U 3.5 Games67%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Game 4 Winner62%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)61%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?57%
First Blood in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?56%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
First Blood in Game 4?52%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?41%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?40%
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)31%
O/U 4.5 Games28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill21%
Any Player Penta Kill16%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 78% YES probability for LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Dplus KIA and KT Rolster in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

We track LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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