LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

FlyQuest and Sentinels will contest the lower bracket quarterfinal of the 2026 LCS Playoffs on 30 May at 4:00 PM ET, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from competition. The match is scheduled as a best-of-five series, meaning the first team to secure three victories will progress. Settlement occurs by 31 May at 02:00 UTC, providing a narrow window for resolution given potential scheduling delays or technical complications.

The 100% implied probability on this contract reflects near-certainty that the match will be played and completed within the settlement window. Historical precedent from LCS lower bracket fixtures shows cancellations or extended delays beyond seven days are exceptionally rare; the league has maintained consistent scheduling through regular seasons and playoff runs. Comparable prediction markets on LCS matches typically show meaningful divergence between sportsbook moneylines and prediction-market probabilities only when roster changes, injury announcements, or coaching decisions emerge close to fixture dates. Current analyst consensus on team strength and form would typically inform whether sportsbooks price either team as favoured, though the 100% reading here suggests traders are primarily pricing match completion rather than outcome conviction.

Traders should monitor official LCS communications for any schedule adjustments, player availability updates, or technical issues affecting broadcast infrastructure. Recent LCS playoff fixtures have proceeded without significant delays, though weather events or venue complications could theoretically trigger rescheduling. The tight settlement window means any postponement beyond 31 May would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, creating asymmetric risk for traders holding positions as the deadline approaches.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.