LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

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Active sub-markets

Market context

KT Rolster meet Gen.G in an LCK Rounds 1-2 best-of-three scheduled for 22 May, with the market sitting near a 50-50 split despite Gen.G entering as the cleaner paper favourite. That is notable against the broader pre-match pricing: EGamersWorld lists Gen.G around 1.11 and KT at 5.01 for the same fixture, implying roughly 90%+ and a much wider gap than the crowd view. The discrepancy suggests the market is putting more weight on KT’s ability to take a map, repeat past upsets, or benefit from a volatile BO3 format than on straight team quality alone.

Recent head-to-head results justify some caution on a simple favourite read. Sheep Esports records KT beating Gen.G 2-1 on 3 April in the current LCK season, after KT also took a perfect opening week in league play. Historical H2H pages and match archives show this pairing can swing sharply by patch, draft and side selection, so a neutral price is not hard to understand even when one roster is rated higher overall. In practice, the contract looks closer to an “upset susceptibility” trade than a pure power-rank assessment.

For catalysts, traders should watch for final roster confirmations, any last-minute schedule changes, and whether the teams arrive off the back of a compressed match week that could affect preparation. Sofascore and Flashscore both list the game for 22 May at 10:00 UTC, but the settlement window runs to 16:00 UTC, so a delay beyond the day’s programme would matter for outcome risk. If one side announces a substitution, or if the match is moved without a result, that would be more relevant here than a small shift in pre-match analyst opinion.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.