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LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) 100% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Odd/Even Total Kills 90% Volume: $388K Liquidity: $685K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
First Blood in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?10%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: pain gaming vs furia esports (bo3) - cblol regular season stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between paiN Gaming and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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