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LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Team Orange Gaming (+1.5) 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 50% Volume: $101K Liquidity: $165K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Team Orange Gaming (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: team orange gaming vs g2 nord (bo3) - prime league 1st division group b. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Team Orange Gaming and G2 NORD in the Prime League 1st Division Group B, initially scheduled for July 22 at 11:00AM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

We track LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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