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Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds

Live odds for "Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

NRFI 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 80% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 70% 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 63% Volume: $314K Liquidity: $426K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.580%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.570%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.563%
O/U 8.560%
Spread -1.557%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.549%
O/U 9.545%
Spread -2.539%
O/U 10.538%
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds27%
Spread -1.520%
Spread -2.511%
Extra Innings10%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds. In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for August 6 at 12:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will reso…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $314K.

Methodology

This page reviews Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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