Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Toronto FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Toronto FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Toronto FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Toronto FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Charlotte FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Toronto FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Charlotte FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Toronto FC will host Charlotte FC in Major League Soccer on 19 August at 7:30 PM ET. The market in question tracks whether additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture beyond standard match-result and goal-total lines. The 0% implied probability suggests traders currently expect no supplementary markets—such as player prop bets, corner-kick totals, or card-count derivatives—to be made available by major sportsbooks or exchanges for this particular matchup.
Historical precedent shows that MLS regular-season fixtures between mid-table or lower-ranked clubs often receive minimal market expansion compared to playoff matches or contests involving marquee franchises. Toronto FC and Charlotte FC, neither commanding consistent top-tier attention, typically generate only core betting products rather than the extended menu available for Supporters' Shield contenders or playoff-bound sides. When secondary markets do materialise for such games, they tend to appear only at specialist operators rather than mainstream sportsbooks, which narrows the definition of what counts as "available" for settlement purposes.
Traders should monitor sportsbook announcements in the week preceding the match, particularly from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM, which periodically expand MLS coverage ahead of fixtures. League scheduling changes, injury updates to key players, or unexpected media interest could prompt market proliferation. The settlement window closes at 23:30 UTC on 19 August, giving traders roughly six hours post-kickoff to assess whether any markets beyond the standard offering have been formally listed by the time the window expires.
Methodology
This page reviews Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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