Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 92% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 92% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 92% |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 92% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 92% |
| Dawson Knox: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 92% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 91% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 91% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 90% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 85% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 84% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 83% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 83% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 81% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 81% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 81% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 78% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 77% |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 77% |
| Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 74% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 74% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 73% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 72% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 72% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 66% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 66% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 62% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 61% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 59% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 57% |
| Keon Coleman: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 56% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Keon Coleman: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 56% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 56% |
| Dawson Knox: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 56% |
| Keleki Latu: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Keleki Latu: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 56% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 55% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 54% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 51% |
| Khalil Shakir: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| DJ Moore: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Longest Reception O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Jordan Mason: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Justin Jefferson: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Completions O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Completions O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Tai Felton: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Ben Yurosek: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Gavin Bartholomew: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Myles Price: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Tai Felton: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| DeeJay Dallas: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Tai Felton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tai Felton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tai Felton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ben Yurosek: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Greg Dortch: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Odell Beckham Jr.: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| DJ Moore: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| James Cook III: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Josh Allen: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Keon Coleman: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Khalil Shakir: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Dawson Knox: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Jackson Hawes: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Ray Davis: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Ty Johnson: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Greg Dortch: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Trent Sherfield: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 45% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| Dawson Knox: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 42% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 41% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 41% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 39% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 38% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 37% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 37% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 35% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 35% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 32% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 32% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Justin Jefferson: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 31% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 28% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 27% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 26% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 26% |
| Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 26% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Gavin Bartholomew: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Tai Felton: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Carson Wentz: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Odell Beckham Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 24% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 24% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 24% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 23% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 23% |
| Jordan Addison: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 22% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 22% |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Keon Coleman: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 21% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 21% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 21% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 21% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 20% |
| Dawson Knox: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 19% |
| James Cook III: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 119.5 | 18% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 18% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 18% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 18% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 17% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 17% |
| Justin Jefferson: Anytime Touchdown | 17% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 16% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdown | 16% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 15% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 14% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 14% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Keon Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 14% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 13% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Keon Coleman: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 12% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 12% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 12% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 12% |
| Ty Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 11% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 11% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 11% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 11% |
| Jordan Addison: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 11% |
| Ben Yurosek: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| Myles Price: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| Tai Felton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 11% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 10% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 10% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 10% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 10% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 10% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 10% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 10% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Keon Coleman: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| DJ Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| James Cook III: 2+ Touchdowns | 10% |
| Jordan Mason: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Jordan Mason: 2+ Touchdowns | 10% |
| Josh Allen: 2+ Touchdowns | 10% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 10% |
| Jackson Hawes: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Ray Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 9% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 9% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Anytime Touchdown | 9% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Dalton Kincaid: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| DJ Moore: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Jordan Addison: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Justin Jefferson: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Keon Coleman: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Khalil Shakir: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| T.J. Hockenson: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Dawson Knox: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 9% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Ty Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Myles Price: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Khalil Shakir: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Dawson Knox: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
| DeeJay Dallas: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Trent Sherfield: Anytime Touchdown | 1% |
Market context
The Bills vs. Vikings - Player Props prediction market currently prices this outcome at 92% YES. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Bills and Vikings, scheduled for November 9 at 8:15 PM ET.
Methodology
This page reviews Bills vs. Vikings - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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