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FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $221K Liquidity: $743K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 0.5100%
FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 1.5100%
FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)88%
O/U 2.580%
FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.562%
Lillestrøm SK O/U 0.560%
FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)56%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
Lillestrøm SK O/U 1.550%
Lillestrøm SK O/U 2.550%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
FK Bodø/Glimt 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
FK Bodø/Glimt 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Lillestrøm SK 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Lillestrøm SK 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
O/U 3.546%
Both Teams to Score32%
O/U 4.520%
O/U 5.57%
Both Teams to Score in First Half1%
Lillestrøm SK 1st Half O/U 0.51%
Lillestrøm SK 1st Half O/U 1.51%
Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)0%
Lillestrøm SK (-2.5)0%
1st Half O/U 2.50%

Market context

Bodø/Glimt’s meeting with Lillestrøm in the Eliteserien is the underlying event, and the market’s 88% implied probability for **YES** on more markets points to a very strong expectation that the match will generate additional contract triggers. Recent head-to-head records support that leaning: Bodø/Glimt have won 10 of the last 18 meetings in one dataset, with 37 goals scored to Lillestrøm’s 18, while another set shows 10 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats across 21 matches[2][5]. The most recent league meeting referenced by Sky Sports ended 2-5 to Bodø/Glimt away from home in December 2024, underlining that this pairing has often been open rather than tightly controlled[15]. That context makes 88% look consistent with a favourite-driven, chance-rich fixture rather than a coin-flip.

The main catalysts are line-ups, late injuries and whether either side rotates around fixture load, because any change to attacking personnel or tempo can shift the shape of “more markets” outcomes quickly. Sports Mole said Bodø/Glimt had taken 31 points from 15 games, scored a league-high 37 and allowed a league-low 11, while Lillestrøm sat fourth with 25 points from 14 matches, which is the sort of form profile that can keep cross-platform pricing relatively firm if the expected starting XI holds[17]. Flashscore, SofaScore and ESPN all carried live match coverage for this fixture on the day, suggesting the relevant pre-match information was concentrated around confirmed team news and any in-game dependence on early scoring or disciplinary swings[1][6][9].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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