CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

CD Los Chankas defeated Sport Boys Association 1–0 in their Peru Liga 1 Clausura opener on 19 July at Estadio Los Chankas, a result that already settled the match outcome before the prediction market’s 2026 settlement window closed. The game, scheduled for 11:00 a.m. Lima time, saw Abdiel Armando Ayarza Bocanegra score the lone goal, confirming Los Chankas as the victor in this fixture [3][4].

Historically, 0% YES implied probabilities on settled match outcomes in Liga 1 have aligned with definitive results where one side secured a clear win, particularly in opening fixtures where home advantage and early momentum dominate. Comparable cases from the 2025 and 2024 seasons show that when a match ends 1–0 or similar low-scoring decisive results, prediction markets reflecting “more markets” contracts often close at 0% for the losing side’s alternative outcomes, matching sportsbook moneyline odds that heavily favoured the winner [1].

Traders should monitor post-match official reports from the Peruvian Football Association and broadcast confirmations from L1 Max, which aired the game live, to verify settlement criteria such as goal validity or disciplinary actions that could alter ancillary markets [3]. No further announcements are expected, as the match concluded with a final score of 1–0, leaving no unresolved dependencies for this contract [4]. Divergence between the 0% prediction-market probability and pre-match sportsbook lines (Los Chankas at -155 ML) reflects the market’s accurate pricing of the eventual outcome, aligning with analyst consensus on Los Chankas’ home strength in the Clausura tournament [1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page reviews CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.