Sport Boys Association vs. Club Alianza Lima

Platform comparison

Market context

Sport Boys Association and Club Alianza Lima meet in Peru’s Liga 1, with the market currently pricing **0% YES**, which is materially below the historical matchup profile. Across recent head-to-head datasets, Alianza Lima has been the stronger side: FootyStats lists 11 Alianza wins and only 2 Sport Boys wins in the last 17 meetings, while another database shows 23 Alianza wins, 9 Sport Boys wins and 8 draws across 40 matches since 2005[1][2]. That historical edge is broad enough to make a zero-implied-price contract look extreme unless traders are already factoring in a major team-specific issue. By comparison, the same sources show Sport Boys have occasionally taken points, so the market is not pricing a literal impossibility, but rather a very strong conviction against the outcome implied by YES[1][2].

For traders, the key catalysts are team news, especially line-up confirmation, late injury or suspension updates, and any schedule or rotation effects from Alianza Lima’s broader calendar. The most recent completed meeting listed in the results was Alianza Lima’s 1-0 win over Sport Boys on 20 February 2026, reinforcing the baseline expectation that Alianza should be the favoured side in a fresh encounter[18]. Analyst-style H2H tools also lean towards Alianza: FotMob lists the record as 17 Alianza wins, 2 Sport Boys wins and 4 draws, which broadly aligns with the sportsbook-style historical consensus even if exact counts differ by provider[9]. The main divergence to watch is whether bookmaker pricing stays anchored to Alianza’s historical superiority while the prediction market remains at 0% YES; if that gap persists, it usually signals the contract is reacting to information not yet reflected in the public stats feed, such as team selection or a late change to match conditions[9][18].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.