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Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce - More Markets

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce - More Markets" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets.

O/U 0.5 90% Cagliari Calcio O/U 0.5 76% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 73% O/U 1.5 67% Volume: $77K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 7 Sept 2026
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Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.590%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 0.576%
2nd Half O/U 0.573%
O/U 1.567%
1st Half O/U 0.564%
US Lecce O/U 0.560%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half O/U 0.555%
US Lecce 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
US Lecce 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half (-1.5)49%
Both Teams to Score47%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half O/U 0.546%
O/U 2.541%
US Lecce 2nd Half O/U 0.541%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 1.539%
2nd Half O/U 1.536%
US Lecce 1st Half O/U 0.533%
1st Half O/U 1.526%
Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)22%
US Lecce O/U 1.522%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half22%
O/U 3.520%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half O/U 1.517%
Both Teams to Score in First Half16%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 2.515%
2nd Half O/U 2.513%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half O/U 1.512%
US Lecce 2nd Half O/U 1.59%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half (-1.5)9%
Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)8%
O/U 4.58%
1st Half O/U 2.58%
US Lecce (-1.5)7%
US Lecce O/U 2.56%
US Lecce 1st Half O/U 1.55%
O/U 5.53%
US Lecce 1st Half (-1.5)3%
US Lecce (-2.5)2%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half (-2.5)2%
US Lecce 1st Half (-2.5)1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 90% probability to cagliari calcio vs. us lecce - more markets. More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 7 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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