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Djurgardens IF vs. AIK - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Djurgardens IF vs. AIK - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

AIK (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $140K Liquidity: $603K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Djurgardens IF vs. AIK - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
AIK (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
Djurgardens IF O/U 0.5100%
AIK O/U 0.5100%
AIK O/U 1.5100%
AIK O/U 2.5100%
AIK 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
AIK 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Djurgardens IF 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Djurgardens IF (-1.5)0%
Djurgardens IF (-2.5)0%
AIK (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
Djurgardens IF O/U 1.50%
Djurgardens IF O/U 2.50%
Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Djurgardens IF 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
AIK 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
AIK 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Djurgårdens IF and AIK will contest an Allsvenskan fixture on 16 August 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 08:00 ET. The match represents a Stockholm derby—one of Swedish football's most consistent rivalries—contested in the league's mid-season window. Current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES reflects either extreme confidence in a specific outcome or sparse liquidity early in the market's lifecycle. Settlement occurs at 12:00 UTC on match day, allowing roughly four hours post-kickoff for final resolution.

Historical derby data suggests significant volatility in outcomes. Over the past decade, Stockholm derbies have produced roughly equal distributions of home wins, away wins, and draws, with neither club establishing decisive home-field dominance in this fixture. Comparative sportsbook lines from major European operators typically reflect near-parity pricing on match outcomes, though moneyline odds occasionally diverge by 5–8 percentage points depending on recent form and injury status. The 0% reading here likely indicates minimal trading activity rather than consensus certainty.

Traders should monitor squad news through early August, particularly injury reports affecting key midfielders or forwards for either side. Allsvenskan typically publishes official team sheets 24 hours before fixtures. Recent domestic form—both clubs' results in July and early August—will influence late-market movement. Weather conditions in Stockholm on match day may also shift odds on over/under goal markets, which often correlate with match-outcome pricing. Cross-platform comparison with established bookmakers (Unibet, Betsson, Svenska Spel) will reveal whether prediction-market pricing diverges meaningfully from professional consensus.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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