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AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Qairat FK - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Qairat FK - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

AS Omónoia Leukosías 1 - 0 Qairat FK 100% AS Omónoia Leukosías 0 - 0 Qairat FK 0% AS Omónoia Leukosías 0 - 1 Qairat FK 0% AS Omónoia Leukosías 0 - 2 Qairat FK 0% Volume: $104K Liquidity: $253K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Qairat FK - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
AS Omónoia Leukosías 1 - 0 Qairat FK100%
AS Omónoia Leukosías 0 - 0 Qairat FK0%
AS Omónoia Leukosías 0 - 1 Qairat FK0%
AS Omónoia Leukosías 0 - 2 Qairat FK0%
AS Omónoia Leukosías 1 - 1 Qairat FK0%
AS Omónoia Leukosías 2 - 0 Qairat FK0%
AS Omónoia Leukosías 0 - 3 Qairat FK0%
AS Omónoia Leukosías 1 - 2 Qairat FK0%
AS Omónoia Leukosías 2 - 1 Qairat FK0%
AS Omónoia Leukosías 3 - 0 Qairat FK0%
AS Omónoia Leukosías 1 - 3 Qairat FK0%
AS Omónoia Leukosías 2 - 2 Qairat FK0%
AS Omónoia Leukosías 3 - 1 Qairat FK0%
AS Omónoia Leukosías 2 - 3 Qairat FK0%
AS Omónoia Leukosías 3 - 2 Qairat FK0%
AS Omónoia Leukosías 3 - 3 Qairat FK0%
Any Other Score0%

Market context

AS Omónoia Leukosías meet Qairat FK in a UEFA Champions League qualifier, and the current exact-score contract is pricing the specific scoreline at **0% YES** on the crowd side, which is a sign that traders see the listed outcome set as either extremely unlikely or not yet meaningfully traded. That sits alongside broader match pricing on Polymarket that leans to an Omonia result rather than a Qairat win, with Omonia listed at 69% to win and the draw at 26%, while Qairat are at 7% to win.[1]

Historically, this kind of contract is best read through the lens of low-frequency football scorelines: the market is not saying the match cannot land on one of the listed exact scores, only that none of those outcomes is currently attracting conviction. The head-to-head record offers almost no statistical anchor, with the available matchup summary showing no prior results and no goals recorded between the sides, so there is little direct historical basis for a precise exact-score view.[2] In practice, that leaves the exact-score market more dependent on live team news and pricing than on any long-run series between these clubs.[2]

The main catalysts are the confirmed team sheets, any late injury or suspension updates, and whether the fixture is played on the original schedule or moved, because postponement would keep the market open until completion. Exact-score contracts are also sensitive to how the first leg, travel, and qualification context affect game state: a stronger favourite often compresses the score distribution towards narrow home wins, while an early goal can widen the range of plausible final scores. For comparison, the directional pre-match market already implies Omonia as the likelier side, so any meaningful divergence would come from sportsbook exact-score pricing if books are offering a materially different favourite scoreline than the market consensus.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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