Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| RSC Anderlecht (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| RSC Anderlecht O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| RSC Anderlecht O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| RSC Anderlecht O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Hammarby Fotboll O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| RSC Anderlecht 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| RSC Anderlecht 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Team to Advance | 100% |
| Hammarby Fotboll (-1.5) | 0% |
| RSC Anderlecht (-2.5) | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| RSC Anderlecht 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| RSC Anderlecht 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Hammarby Fotboll 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
RSC Anderlecht and Hammarby Fotboll are scheduled to meet in a UEFA Europa League qualifier, but the market you are tracking is already pricing the contract at **100% YES**, which is far more certain than the broader match-result market. That stands in contrast to pre-match sportsbook and model views: one bookmaker-based preview makes Anderlecht a modest favourite at about 53%, while another model-backed preview leans the other way and gives Hammarby the edge, which is the kind of disagreement that usually matters more in derivative markets than in the headline 1X2 price.[2][3][6]
Comparable cases suggest that “more markets” contracts can re-rate sharply when the football itself is not fully settled by the main match line. In this fixture, public predictions have also pointed to a relatively tight game, with BTTS probabilities clustered around the low-60s and over/under expectations near two to three goals, which helps explain why side markets can retain volatility even when a single binary outcome has reached the ceiling.[3][9][17] The main practical catalyst is whether this specific sub-market has already been mathematically locked by an earlier result, line-up confirmation, or another dependency in the official market rules; once that is true, late team news no longer moves the price, because resolution is effectively predetermined by the contract structure.[1][5][7]
For traders comparing platforms, the key cross-check is whether the prediction market’s 100% reading is consistent with the sportsbook line on the underlying event or whether it reflects a separate dependency embedded in the “more markets” contract. The sharp gap between a fully priced YES on the contract and only a narrow edge on the match itself is the main signal here, not a consensus on Anderlecht or Hammarby outright.[1][2][3]
Methodology
This page reviews RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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