Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
1% | 99% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
1% | 99% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5) | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5) | 0% |
| Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5) | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
Market context
Qarabağ Ağdam’s UEFA Europa League qualifier against PFC CSKA Sofia finished 0-0, which means the **0% YES** crowd price on this “more markets” contract is unsurprising if the market was tied to a settled match-specific outcome rather than a live, still-open contingency.[1][3] In cross-platform terms, the result itself now sits well ahead of any pre-match pricing signal: the game has been recorded as complete, while the contract has settled with no YES outcome.[1][3]
The useful historical comparison is that this pairing has been tight rather than high-scoring, with FootyStats listing the head-to-head as one previous meeting, also ending level at 0-0 in its summary.[2] FootyStats also characterises Qarabağ as substantially stronger on attacking output in the broader sample it tracks, but that does not translate into certainty in a single knockout leg, especially when the match state is conservative and the market is focused on secondary outcomes rather than the main winner line.[2] By comparison with sportsbook-style match pricing, a 0% implied probability usually signals either a settled event or a market whose condition is now impossible to satisfy, not merely a long shot.
For traders, the main catalysts were team-sheet confirmation, late squad changes, and whether the match would produce the specific statistical condition named by the contract before kick-off at 12:00 PM ET.[1][3] Once 365Scores and similar live results feeds marked the fixture as ended, there was no remaining pathway for a fresh YES resolution on a post-match “more markets” contract tied to this game.[1][3]
Methodology
This page reviews Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets on Best Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →