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Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.5 1% 2nd Half O/U 1.5 1% 2nd Half O/U 2.5 1% Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 1% Volume: $420K Liquidity: $667K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
1% 99% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
1% 99% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.51%
2nd Half O/U 1.51%
2nd Half O/U 2.51%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2nd Half O/U 1.51%
PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.51%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)0%
PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)0%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)0%
PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5)0%
O/U 0.50%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 0.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 1.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 1.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.50%

Market context

Qarabağ Ağdam’s UEFA Europa League qualifier against PFC CSKA Sofia finished 0-0, which means the **0% YES** crowd price on this “more markets” contract is unsurprising if the market was tied to a settled match-specific outcome rather than a live, still-open contingency.[1][3] In cross-platform terms, the result itself now sits well ahead of any pre-match pricing signal: the game has been recorded as complete, while the contract has settled with no YES outcome.[1][3]

The useful historical comparison is that this pairing has been tight rather than high-scoring, with FootyStats listing the head-to-head as one previous meeting, also ending level at 0-0 in its summary.[2] FootyStats also characterises Qarabağ as substantially stronger on attacking output in the broader sample it tracks, but that does not translate into certainty in a single knockout leg, especially when the match state is conservative and the market is focused on secondary outcomes rather than the main winner line.[2] By comparison with sportsbook-style match pricing, a 0% implied probability usually signals either a settled event or a market whose condition is now impossible to satisfy, not merely a long shot.

For traders, the main catalysts were team-sheet confirmation, late squad changes, and whether the match would produce the specific statistical condition named by the contract before kick-off at 12:00 PM ET.[1][3] Once 365Scores and similar live results feeds marked the fixture as ended, there was no remaining pathway for a fresh YES resolution on a post-match “more markets” contract tied to this game.[1][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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