Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs EDward Gaming (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-5.5) vs EDward Gaming (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-6.5) vs EDward Gaming (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-7.5) vs EDward Gaming (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-8.5) vs EDward Gaming (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 76% |
| Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) | 65% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 51% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs EDward Gaming (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-6.5) vs EDward Gaming (+6.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-5.5) vs EDward Gaming (+5.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-7.5) vs EDward Gaming (+7.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-8.5) vs EDward Gaming (+8.5) | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 45% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 27% |
| Map 2 Winner | 7% |
| Match Winner | 4% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-10.5) vs EDward Gaming (+10.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-9.5) vs EDward Gaming (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-11.5) vs EDward Gaming (+11.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-4.5) vs EDward Gaming (+4.5) | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A. This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between EDward Gaming and BBL Esports in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 6 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDwa…
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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