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Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5) 100% Volume: $191K Liquidity: $298K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)74%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.555%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.553%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5)52%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.552%
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.525%
Map 2 Winner1%
Match Winner1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and Leviatán Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 23 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

We track Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - … on Best Prediction Markets

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