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Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 90% Volume: $101K Liquidity: $176K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)0%

Market context

Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Nova Esports and JD Gaming in the VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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