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Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5) 91% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5) 91% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5) 91% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-8.5) vs Team Envy (+8.5) 91% Volume: $307K Liquidity: $704K Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-8.5) vs Team Envy (+8.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-7.5) vs Team Envy (+7.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.553%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-7.5) vs Team Envy (+7.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)48%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 2 Winner9%
O/U 2.5 Games9%
Match Winner5%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: team envy vs evil geniuses (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha stands at 91% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Envy and Evil Geniuses in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 17 at 5:00PM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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