Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Carla Leite: Assists O/U 5.5 | 93% |
| Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire | 67% |
| Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 63% |
| Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.5 | 52% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Points O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Points O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Bridget Carleton: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bridget Carleton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Azzi Fudd: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Carla Leite: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bridget Carleton: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Carla Leite: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Bridget Carleton: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Carla Leite: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| O/U 171.5 | 49% |
| Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| O/U 172.5 | 46% |
| Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| O/U 174.5 | 43% |
| O/U 175.5 | 40% |
| Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| O/U 177.5 | 33% |
| Carla Leite: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Azzi Fudd: Assists O/U 2.5 | 21% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 93% probability to dallas wings vs. portlandfire. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 22 at 10:00PM ET: If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Wings". If the PortlandFire win, the market will resolve to "PortlandFire". …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $256K.
Methodology
This page reviews Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire on Best Prediction Markets
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