Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream

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Market context

The underlying event is a WNBA match-up between the Toronto Tempo and the Atlanta Dream, scheduled for 7:30 PM ET on 22 June at State Farm Arena in Atlanta. The game has already concluded, with the Atlanta Dream securing a decisive victory, as reflected by the current crowd-implied probability of 0% for a Toronto Tempo win. Sportsbooks set Atlanta as a 14.5-point favourite, a line that aligns with their superior 11-4 record compared to the Tempo’s 8-8 standing[1][4].

Historically, such a 0% implied probability in a settled game mirrors cases where one team dominates a mid-season fixture, particularly when the home side holds a significant winning streak. The Dream’s current four-game run and Angel Reese’s impact against the Tempo’s defence frame this result as a predictable outcome rather than an anomaly[7]. Traders should note that when a team is favoured by over 14 points and wins outright, prediction markets typically resolve with near-certainty, leaving no room for divergence between analyst consensus and actual results.

Key catalysts for similar future contracts include pre-game injury reports and starting lineup announcements, which can shift odds dramatically. For this specific match, the final score and any overtime periods were the sole determinants, with no make-up game required if postponed. Recent analysis from Vernon’s Best Bets confirmed Atlanta’s status as a heavy favourite, reinforcing the alignment between sportsbook lines and prediction-market outcomes[3]. With the settlement window ending on 22 June 23:30 UTC, the market has resolved definitively to Atlanta Dream.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.