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Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart 100% Completed Match 100% Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Set 1 Winner 100% Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $255K Closes: 26 Oct 2026
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Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart100%
Completed Match100%
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Set 1 Winner100%
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Set 2 Winner100%
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Match O/U 21.5100%
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Match O/U 22.5100%
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Match O/U 23.5100%
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Game Spread +/-2.5100%
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart Total Sets: O/U 2.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart. This market refers to the tennis match between Talia Gibson and Harriet Dart in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Talia Gib…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart on Best Prediction Markets

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets