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Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 1 O/U 8.5 77% Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 2 O/U 8.5 76% Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Match O/U 21.5 59% Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova 57% Volume: $534K Liquidity: $699K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 1 O/U 8.577%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 2 O/U 8.576%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Match O/U 21.559%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova57%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 2 Winner55%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 1 Winner54%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 2 O/U 9.552%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 1 O/U 9.551%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Match O/U 22.551%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 2 O/U 10.547%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Match O/U 23.545%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Total Sets: O/U 2.543%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set Handicap +/-1.535%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 1 O/U 10.528%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon wta: marta kostyuk vs linda noskova stands at 77% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Linda Noskova in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

This page reviews Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets