Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova. This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Kudermetova and Linda Fruhvirtova in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will reso…
Methodology
We track US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Li… on Best Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →