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Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Five-platform snapshot of "Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew 100% Completed Match 100% Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 Winner 100% Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $69K Closes: 24 Oct 2026
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Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew100%
Completed Match100%
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 Winner100%
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 Winner100%
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Match O/U 21.50%
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Match O/U 22.50%
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Match O/U 23.50%
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Game Spread +/-0.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ningbo open, qualification: polina kudermetova vs mananchaya sawangkaew stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Kudermetova and Mananchaya Sawangkaew in the Ningbo Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:30AM …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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