Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider Match O/U 22.5 | 57% |
| Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 56% |
| Completed Match | 53% |
| Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider Game Spread +/-5.5 | 50% |
| Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider Match O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider Set 2 Winner | 34% |
| Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider | 20% |
| Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider Set 1 Winner | 13% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of ningbo open: yulia putintseva vs diana shnaider. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Yulia Putintseva and Diana Shnaider in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will re…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Trade Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider on Best Prediction Markets
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