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Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Volume: $348K Liquidity: $491K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert0%
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 1 Winner0%
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Match O/U 21.50%
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 2 Winner0%
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Match O/U 22.50%
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of bastad: kaitlin quevedo vs simona waltert. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Kaitlin Quevedo and Simona Waltert in the Bastad, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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