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US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint 87% US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 2 Winner 82% US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 1 Winner 81% US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set Handicap +/-1.5 68% Volume: $65K Liquidity: $166K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
Open live market →
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint87%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 2 Winner82%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 1 Winner81%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set Handicap +/-1.568%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 1 O/U 8.555%
Completed Match50%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Game Spread +/-4.550%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 1 O/U 9.550%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Match O/U 21.538%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Match O/U 22.535%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 1 O/U 10.532%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Total Sets: O/U 2.527%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Match O/U 23.525%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 87% YES probability for US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint. This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Maya Joint in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolin…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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