Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee | 0% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, guangzhou open, qualification: jeline vandromme vs carol young suh lee stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Jeline Vandromme and Carol Young Suh Lee in the Guangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:30AM E…
Methodology
We track Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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