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ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht

Five-platform snapshot of "ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht Set 1 Winner 54% ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht 51% Completed Match 50% ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50% Volume: $128K Liquidity: $277K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
54% 46% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
54% 46% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht Set 1 Winner54%
ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht51%
Completed Match50%
ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht Set 2 Winner50%
ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht Set 1 O/U 8.550%
ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht Set Handicap +/-1.550%
ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht Set 2 O/U 8.550%
ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht Set 1 O/U 9.550%
ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht Match O/U 22.550%
ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht Set 2 O/U 9.550%
ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht Set 1 O/U 10.550%
ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht Match O/U 23.550%
ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht Set 2 O/U 10.550%
ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht Match O/U 21.549%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 54% YES probability for ITF Nova Gorica: Dominik Kellovsky vs Leonid Sheyngezikht. This market refers to the tennis match between Dominik Kellovsky and Leonid Sheyngezikht in the ITF Men Nova Gorica, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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