Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5) | 15% YES | 85% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Dplus KIA face T1 in the upper bracket final of the League of Legends Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs on 25 May, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. The best-of-five match is scheduled for 3:00 AM ET, a timing that may affect viewership and betting liquidity across regions. The current 56% implied probability for a Dplus KIA victory reflects moderate confidence in their chances, though traditional sportsbooks covering Korean LoL have historically favoured T1 in head-to-head matchups given their sustained dominance in domestic competition.
T1 have won four of the past five LCK championships and remain the region's most consistent performer at international events, establishing a structural advantage in playoff formats. However, Dplus KIA's recent form and roster stability have narrowed the gap considerably. Historical precedent suggests that when prediction markets price Korean LoL upper bracket finals between these organisations, the favourite typically carries 60–65% implied probability, making the current 56% figure relatively balanced rather than heavily skewed.
Key variables for traders include last-minute roster changes or player illness announcements, which Korean esports organisations occasionally disclose within 24 hours of matches. The match's early morning ET scheduling may create arbitrage opportunities between Asian and Western betting markets if line movements diverge significantly. Settlement occurs immediately upon match conclusion, with the 7-day grace period applying only if the match is delayed or incomplete without a clear winner determined.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →