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LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 75% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 71% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 71% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% Volume: $133K Liquidity: $388K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon75%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?71%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?71%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Match Winner64%
Game 1 Winner61%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?60%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?59%
Game 2 Winner57%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors12%

Market context

The LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group prediction market currently prices this outcome at 75% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and T1 in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 31 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match ag…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group on Best Prediction Markets

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