LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Secret Whales will face Deep Cross Gaming in the League of Legends Championship Series upper bracket final on 31 May at 05:00 ET. The match is a best-of-five contest that determines which team advances directly to the grand final. The 60% implied probability favouring Team Secret Whales reflects their positioning as the stronger seeded side, though the prediction-market consensus sits notably higher than typical sportsbook lines for LCP playoffs, which have historically favoured the top seed by 55–58% in comparable matchups.

Deep Cross Gaming's path to this stage involved eliminating lower-seeded opponents, whereas Team Secret Whales secured their upper bracket position through the regular season standings. Historical LCP upper bracket finals have shown that seeding advantage translates inconsistently into match outcomes; three of the past five seasons saw the lower seed force a game five, and two resulted in upsets entirely. The current 60% figure suggests traders are pricing in Team Secret Whales' regular-season consistency whilst acknowledging Deep Cross Gaming's demonstrated ability to compete in high-pressure knockout rounds.

Key variables affecting settlement include roster availability—any last-minute substitutions or health issues would shift the odds materially—and the technical stability of the broadcast infrastructure, given the early morning ET scheduling. The seven-day grace period for delays is relevant here; if the match is postponed beyond 7 June without completion, the market resolves 50-50. Monitor LCP official announcements and team social media for any schedule changes or roster confirmations in the 48 hours preceding the fixture.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.