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CF Pachuca vs. CF Cruz Azul - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "CF Pachuca vs. CF Cruz Azul - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 95% CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5 91% O/U 1.5 81% CF Pachuca O/U 0.5 80% Volume: $166K Liquidity: $261K Closes: 22 Oct 2026
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CF Pachuca vs. CF Cruz Azul - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.591%
O/U 1.581%
CF Pachuca O/U 0.580%
1st Half O/U 0.573%
CF Cruz Azul 1st Half O/U 0.567%
CF Pachuca 1st Half O/U 0.563%
Both Teams to Score61%
O/U 2.557%
CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.556%
CF Pachuca O/U 5.550%
CF Pachuca 1st Half (-2.5)50%
CF Cruz Azul 1st Half (-2.5)50%
CF Pachuca 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
CF Cruz Azul 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
CF Pachuca 2nd Half (-1.5)47%
1st Half O/U 1.537%
CF Pachuca (-4.5)36%
CF Pachuca (-5.5)36%
O/U 3.536%
CF Pachuca O/U 1.536%
CF Cruz Azul 1st Half O/U 1.536%
CF Cruz Azul 1st Half O/U 2.535%
CF Cruz Azul 1st Half O/U 3.535%
CF Pachuca 1st Half O/U 1.534%
CF Pachuca 1st Half O/U 2.532%
CF Pachuca 1st Half O/U 3.532%
CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)25%
CF Cruz Azul O/U 2.525%
Both Teams to Score in First Half23%
CF Pachuca O/U 3.519%
O/U 4.518%
CF Cruz Azul O/U 4.517%
O/U 7.516%
CF Cruz Azul 2nd Half (-1.5)16%
1st Half O/U 2.514%
O/U 5.513%
CF Pachuca O/U 2.513%
CF Pachuca (-1.5)12%
CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)11%
CF Cruz Azul 1st Half (-1.5)10%
1st Half O/U 4.59%
CF Cruz Azul O/U 3.59%
1st Half O/U 3.58%
CF Pachuca O/U 4.58%
CF Pachuca 1st Half (-1.5)6%
CF Pachuca (-2.5)4%
CF Cruz Azul (-3.5)4%
CF Cruz Azul (-4.5)4%
CF Cruz Azul (-5.5)4%
O/U 6.53%
CF Pachuca (-3.5)1%
O/U 8.51%
CF Cruz Azul O/U 5.51%

Market context

CF Pachuca vs. CF Cruz Azul - More Markets — current market-implied probability: 95%. More markets for the Liga MX game, scheduled for October 21 at 11:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews CF Pachuca vs. CF Cruz Azul - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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