Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Colorado Rockies face the Los Angeles Dodgers on 26 May at 10:10 PM ET in a regular-season MLB matchup. The 1% implied probability assigned to a Rockies victory in this prediction market reflects substantial confidence in a Dodgers win, though sportsbooks typically price the Rockies closer to 15–20% depending on pitching matchups and recent form. This divergence suggests either that prediction-market participants are pricing in information unavailable at sportsbooks, or that the market is overweighting the Dodgers' historical dominance in this fixture.

Historical context matters considerably here. The Dodgers have won roughly 60% of matchups against Colorado over the past five seasons, and the Rockies' home-field disadvantage at Coors Field—counterintuitively, given the altitude—stems from their own hitters' tendency to underperform relative to visiting teams. The 1% figure is substantially lower than the baseline expectation for an away team facing a division rival, suggesting traders are factoring in either specific roster information or a structural view that the Dodgers' pitching depth makes a Rockies upset unlikely.

Traders should monitor confirmed starting pitchers, which typically become public 24–48 hours before game time. A Rockies ace facing a Dodgers bullpen game could meaningfully shift the probability upward, whilst a Dodgers ace start would likely reinforce current pricing. Recent injury reports from either roster, particularly affecting Colorado's already-thin outfield depth, could also influence the line. The settlement window extends to 3 June, allowing for postponement scenarios that might alter strategic positioning.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.