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Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Five-platform snapshot of "Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Seattle Mariners O/U 1.5 76% Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.5 75% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 66% O/U 5.5 61% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 3 Oct 2026
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Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Seattle Mariners O/U 1.576%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.575%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.566%
O/U 5.561%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 2.559%
Seattle Mariners O/U 2.559%
O/U 6.552%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.551%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners49%
Seattle Mariners O/U 3.545%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 3.544%
NRFI43%
O/U 7.540%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.537%
Spread -1.534%
Spread -1.533%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 4.532%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 5.532%
Seattle Mariners O/U 4.532%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.527%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.527%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.526%
Seattle Mariners O/U 5.525%
Spread -2.524%
Spread -2.524%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.517%
Extra Innings11%

Market context

Market consensus: 76% chance of los angeles angels vs. seattle mariners. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for September 25 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Seattle Mariners O/U 1.5 at 76% for "Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners".

Seattle Mariners O/U 1.5 76% Other 24%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $80K.

Methodology

We track Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports