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Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 92% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 85% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 78% 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 67% Volume: $225K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.592%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.585%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.578%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.567%
NRFI65%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.560%
O/U 12.556%
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies52%
O/U 13.548%
Spread -1.542%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.534%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.533%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.525%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.525%
Extra Innings7%

Market context

Market consensus: 92% chance of washington nationals vs. colorado rockies. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for July 21 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 92% for "Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 92% Other 8%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $225K.

Methodology

We track Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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